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This edition's stats use PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi 15-minute board, read Nov. 6 at 10:01 AM ET for the window closing 10:15 AM ET, plus a fresh Finnhub Bitcoin spot…

World Monitor’s prediction-market board puts the Polymarket contract on Israel striking 4 countries in 2026 at 78.6%, with $7.8M traded, according to the supplied summary and headline.

What the snapshot establishes

The board reading was taken as of Nov. 6 at 2:01 PM UTC across 50 tracked Polymarket and Kalshi markets. The supplied item was published on Nov. 6, 2026, at 9:54 AM ET.

The summary identifies the Israel-strike contract as part of World Monitor’s ranking, but ends before stating its position. The supplied headline places this particular contract on Polymarket; it does not provide a corresponding Kalshi price.

Important limits

No source links, contract rules or price history accompany the material. The snapshot therefore establishes the reported pricing and traded volume, but not how either changed or what events would qualify for settlement.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 78.6% figure is a reported market price, not confirmation that the outcome will occur.
  • The $7.8M traded figure indicates reported activity, but the material does not establish current liquidity or trading costs.
  • Settlement criteria are missing, limiting interpretation of what counts as Israel striking 4 countries in 2026.
  • Coverage of 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets does not establish a cross-platform comparison for this contract.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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