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Barcelona and Arsenal winner contracts show two-point differences across venues

PolymarketTrader matched 8 events listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi as of November 5, 2026. Arsenal also gaps 2 points, at 14.5 percent on Polymarket against 12.5 percent on Kalshi, while Real Madrid prices at 14.5 percent against 13.5 percent.

Polymarket and Kalshi show different prices for Champions League winner contracts, with Barcelona and Arsenal each separated by 2 percentage points between the venues, according to PolymarketTrader.

The comparison covered 8 events listed on both platforms as of November 5, 2026. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 3:30 AM ET.

Comparing the team contracts

Barcelona was priced at 22.5 percent on Polymarket and 20.5 percent on Kalshi, according to PolymarketTrader. Its price was the highest of the three teams detailed in the supplied summary on both platforms.

Arsenal stood at 14.5 percent on Polymarket against 12.5 percent on Kalshi. Its 2-percentage-point difference matched Barcelona’s despite the lower contract prices.

Real Madrid was priced at 14.5 percent on Polymarket and 13.5 percent on Kalshi, a 1-percentage-point difference. That put Real Madrid level with Arsenal on Polymarket but above it on Kalshi.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Polymarket prices were higher than Kalshi prices for all three team contracts detailed in the summary.
  • Venue differences affected both price levels and relative positioning: Arsenal and Real Madrid were tied on one platform but not the other.
  • The supplied summary does not include contract terms, liquidity or transaction costs, so the price differences alone do not establish an executable trading opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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