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Bitcoin dominates Kalshi’s short-window activity as gold leads commodities

Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute series and 20 are trading in the November 5 reading. Gold is the largest commodity series at 47.5 million contracts over the last 96 windows, ahead of WTI crude oil at 10.6 million.

Bitcoin represents 71 percent of contracts in Kalshi’s 15-minute markets, with 342.6 million contracts across the last 96 windows, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

The reading, published Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, shows activity concentrated in Bitcoin within the platform’s short-window markets.

Listed series and trading activity

Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute series, of which 20 are trading in the November 5 reading, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The figures distinguish the number of available series from those recording trading activity.

Among commodities, gold is the largest series, with 47.5 million contracts over the last 96 windows. WTI crude oil follows at 10.6 million contracts over the same span.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin’s 71 percent share makes it the dominant source of contract activity in the reported 15-minute markets. That concentration measures trading activity, not the probability of a price move.
  • Gold’s contract total exceeds WTI crude oil’s in the reported window, establishing it as the leading commodity series by this measure.
  • With 20 of 30 listed series trading, the listing count alone does not capture participation. The supplied figures do not establish spreads, market depth or execution quality.
KalshiBitcoinGoldOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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