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Turner tops Bond casting odds as O’Connor draws heavier trading

Callum Turner is priced at 47.5 cents to be cast as James Bond in the next film, ahead of Josh O'Connor at 42 cents. O'Connor traded 35,245 contracts in 24 hours, the highest contract count among the Bond outcomes listed.

Callum Turner leads the listed Kalshi outcomes for the next James Bond actor at 47.5 cents, ahead of Josh O'Connor at 42 cents, according to BotForKalshi. The update was published Nov 6, 2026 · 7:45 AM ET.

Price leader and volume leader differ

Turner’s outcome recorded 23,819 contracts traded in 24 hours. His price puts him 5.5 cents above O’Connor in the market for who will be cast as James Bond in the next film.

O’Connor, however, attracted more trading: 35,245 contracts changed hands in 24 hours, the highest contract count among the Bond outcomes listed, according to BotForKalshi.

The snapshot therefore shows different leaders on price and activity. Turner has the higher market-implied likelihood, while O’Connor’s outcome accounts for the larger reported trading volume. The supplied update does not establish how either price changed over that period.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Turner’s 47.5-cent price implies roughly a 47.5% probability, compared with 42% for O’Connor; neither is priced above 50%.
  • O’Connor’s larger contract count measures trading activity, not necessarily increased support or an upward price move.
  • These figures describe market expectations, not a confirmed casting decision.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    BotForKalshi
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