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Kalshi favors Barcelona more strongly than sportsbook median against Aston Villa

SportsBookISH tracks 18 Champions League games with 54 Kalshi markets against seven sportsbooks, and prices Aston Villa at 9.5 percent on Kalshi against a 11.2 percent sportsbook median. Barcelona's 77.5 percent Kalshi price sits above the 75.6 percent book median for the match.

Barcelona’s Kalshi price stands at 77.5 percent against Aston Villa on Tuesday’s Champions League slate, compared with a sportsbook median of 75.6 percent, according to SportsBookISH.

Aston Villa shows the reverse pattern: its Kalshi price is 9.5 percent, below the 11.2 percent sportsbook median.

Comparing the two venues

The Barcelona–Aston Villa matchup is part of SportsBookISH’s coverage of 18 Champions League games, comparing 54 Kalshi markets with seven sportsbooks.

The figures place Barcelona 1.9 percentage points above the sportsbook median on Kalshi. Aston Villa is priced 1.7 percentage points below that benchmark, showing a difference in how the two venues assess each side.

A snapshot of match pricing

SportsBookISH’s update was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 4:15 AM ET. The supplied summary provides the match prices but no explanation for the differences between Kalshi and the sportsbook medians.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Barcelona carries the higher relative price: Kalshi’s 77.5 percent is above the 75.6 percent sportsbook median.
  • Aston Villa carries the lower relative price: Its 9.5 percent Kalshi price trails the 11.2 percent sportsbook median.
  • The comparison is a snapshot: These figures establish a pricing gap, not its cause or whether it will persist.
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Sources & attribution

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    SportsBookISH
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