Ravens playoff odds sit at 23 percent as Fagnano start approaches

Baltimore’s playoff Yes contract is priced at 23 cents on Kalshi following the Jacoby Brissett trade, according to SportsBettingDime. That price implies about a 23 percent chance before fees.

The update, published Nov 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM ET, places the Ravens’ playoff prospects well below even odds in the prediction market.

Quarterback availability shapes the immediate outlook

Brissett is not expected to be available for Thursday’s game against Jacksonville, according to SportsBettingDime. Joe Fagnano is therefore set to start for the Ravens.

The reported price offers a snapshot after the trade, but the supplied material includes no earlier contract price. It does not establish whether traders raised or lowered Baltimore’s playoff probability in response to the move.

What it means for prediction markets

• Price versus probability: The 23-cent Yes price translates to about a 23 percent implied playoff chance before fees, not a guaranteed outcome.
• Near-term availability: Brissett’s expected absence leaves Fagnano as the planned starter against Jacksonville, separating the trade from its potential impact on Thursday’s game.
• Limited evidence of a market reaction: Without a pre-trade price, the size and direction of any trade-related repricing cannot be determined.