Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Anthropic’s $3 trillion valuation threshold draws 19.5% odds on Polymarket

World Monitor, in a live reading at 11:21 AM UTC on November 2, tracks 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets with 495.4 million dollars traded across them. The Anthropic market closes on January 5, 2027 and asks whether the company valuation reaches 3 trillion dollars by December 31.

Polymarket priced a 19.5% chance that Anthropic’s valuation would reach $3 trillion by December 31, with $6.5 million traded in the contract, according to World Monitor.

The reading puts the valuation threshold well below an even chance in market pricing. It measures traders’ expectations for the specified outcome, rather than establishing Anthropic’s current valuation.

Deadline and market coverage

World Monitor’s live reading at 11:21 AM UTC on November 2 covered 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi. Those markets had a combined $495.4 million in traded volume.

The Anthropic contract closes on January 5, 2027, although the question concerns whether the company reaches the valuation threshold by December 31. The outcome deadline and the market’s closing date are therefore distinct.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing snapshot: The 19.5% reading reflects the reported market assessment at that moment, not a confirmed outcome.
  • Contract timing: December 31 is the valuation deadline specified in the question; January 5, 2027 is the market’s closing date.
  • Volume context: The Anthropic contract’s $6.5 million traded is separate from the $495.4 million total across World Monitor’s 50-market coverage.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related