Winthrop and Queens draw opposing signals across prediction exchanges

Winthrop and Queens enter their November 2 college basketball opener with prediction exchanges pointing in different directions. According to Action Network’s report published Nov 1, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET, Polymarket gives Winthrop the higher quoted price, while Kalshi puts Queens narrowly ahead.

A narrow divide between exchanges

For the game in Rock Hill, South Carolina, Action Network lists Polymarket’s prices at 60 percent for Winthrop and 59 percent for Queens. On Kalshi, Queens is priced at 59 cents and Winthrop at 58 cents.

Those figures show only a small separation between the teams on each exchange. Action Network characterizes both markets as pricing a nearly even contest. The supplied figures are separate team quotes, however, rather than a pair of probabilities that sum to 100 percent.

Sportsbooks lean toward Queens

Sportsbooks have Queens as a 2-point favorite and set the total at 165.5, according to Action Network. That directional preference matches Kalshi’s ordering of the teams, while Polymarket’s quoted prices place Winthrop slightly above Queens.

What it means for prediction markets

• There is no shared favorite: The reported exchange prices rank the teams differently, with narrow gaps on both platforms.
• The quotes need context: The supplied report does not explain why each exchange’s team prices add to more than 100 percent, limiting direct probability comparisons.
• Sportsbooks offer a separate benchmark: Queens’ 2-point favoritism aligns directionally with Kalshi, but a point spread is not the same measure as an exchange price.