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Bitcoin range contracts gain ground across two November prediction markets

PolymarketTrader's Bitcoin board shows the 78,000 to 80,000 dollar range leading the November 2 price market at 58 percent, up 23 points, on 39,700 dollars traded. The November 3 market puts the same range in front at 37 percent, up 11 points.

Polymarket’s Bitcoin price market for November 2 has the $78,000 to $80,000 range leading at 58%, according to PolymarketTrader. That represents a rise of 23 percentage points.

The update, published Nov 1, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET, reported $39,700 traded in the November 2 market.

Same range leads for November 3

The November 3 market also places the $78,000 to $80,000 range first, according to PolymarketTrader. Its probability stands at 37%, an increase of 11 percentage points.

The two markets therefore favor the same range, but with different levels of conviction. The November 2 contract is above 50%, while the November 3 leader remains below that threshold.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $78,000 to $80,000 range has strengthened in both markets, with the larger probability increase occurring in the November 2 contract.
  • Leading a market does not necessarily imply majority probability: the November 3 range ranks first at 37%.
  • The supplied figures include trading volume for November 2 only, so they do not support a comparison of activity between the two dates.
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Sources & attribution

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