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Jackson gains ground as Kalshi prices Maine Senate race at 73 percent

DeFi Rate's midterm tracker, updated late on November 1, shows Democrat Troy Jackson rising from 60 percent to 73 percent against Susan Collins in Maine's Senate race on Kalshi. Traders put 21 million dollars into election markets over the past 24 hours.

Democrat Troy Jackson’s probability of defeating Susan Collins in Maine’s Senate race reached 73 percent on Kalshi, according to DeFi Rate’s midterm tracker, updated late on November 1.

A 13-point weekly shift

Jackson was at 60 percent a week earlier. The move to 73 percent represents a 13-percentage-point increase in the market’s assessment of his chances.

The update was reported on November 1, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the change in pricing.

Election-market activity

Traders put $21 million into election markets over the previous 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. That figure covers election markets broadly; the summary does not specify how much went into the Maine Senate market.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Jackson’s rise from 60 percent to 73 percent marks a substantial weekly repricing in his favor, but it remains a market probability rather than an election result.
  • The $21 million activity figure cannot be used to establish trading volume or liquidity in the Maine contract.
  • Without a stated catalyst, the supplied reporting does not support attributing the move to polling, campaign developments or any other specific event.
KalshiSenateElectionsMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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