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Wembanyama and San Antonio lead pricing for NBA’s top prizes

DeFi Rate's NBA board, with prices and scores read Nov. 1, 3:08 PM ET, prices the MVP contract on Victor Wembanyama at about 1 in 3, with $100 on Kalshi at the ask…

Victor Wembanyama leads the NBA MVP market at 33%, while San Antonio is the NBA championship favorite at 22%, according to DeFi Rate’s NBA board.

The board’s prices and scores were read on Nov. 1 at 3:08 PM ET. The supplied report was published on Nov. 1, 2026, at 3:54 PM ET, making the market snapshot earlier than the publication time.

Two favorites, neither above 50%

Wembanyama’s MVP contract is priced at about one chance in three. San Antonio’s championship price is lower at 22%. Both lead their respective markets, but neither price implies a more-likely-than-not outcome.

The available summary also references a $100 purchase on Kalshi at the ask, but cuts off before giving the resulting position or potential payout. It provides no competing contract prices or earlier readings for comparison.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leadership is not a majority probability: The 33% MVP and 22% championship readings identify favorites, not outcomes priced above 50%.
  • Timing matters: These figures describe the Nov. 1, 3:08 PM ET snapshot, rather than necessarily the prices available at publication.
  • Trend claims are unsupported: Without prior readings or rival prices, the supplied material cannot establish momentum or the size of either favorite’s lead.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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