Arizona overtakes Dallas in live prediction pricing after kickoff
Arizona's win chance rose 37 points after kickoff in Sunday's game against Dallas, with Kalshi pricing the Cardinals at 62 cents and the Cowboys at 38 cents, DeFi Rate reports. Polymarket US showed a near-identical split at 61 percent to 39.3 percent, a reversal of the pregame board that favored Dallas.
Arizona moved ahead of Dallas in prediction-market pricing during Sunday's game, reversing a pregame board that had favored the Cowboys, according to DeFi Rate. The Cardinals' implied win chance rose 37 points after kickoff.
Live markets favor Arizona
Kalshi priced the Cardinals at 62 cents and the Cowboys at 38 cents, according to DeFi Rate's update published Nov 1, 2026 · 4:45 PM ET. Those prices put Arizona clearly ahead in the live market.
Polymarket US reflected a similar outlook, showing Arizona at 61 percent and Dallas at 39.3 percent. Both platforms therefore pointed to the same change in favorite, though their displayed pricing was not identical.
Trading reaches $5.8 million
DeFi Rate reported 5.8 million dollars traded across Kalshi and Polymarket US. The supplied material does not break that total down by platform or identify which game developments drove the shift toward Arizona.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 37-point rise captures a substantial change from the pregame assessment, when Dallas was favored.
- Kalshi and Polymarket US both favored Arizona at the reported snapshot, with closely aligned but distinct prices.
- The figures describe live market expectations, not a final result; the supplied update does not establish the game's outcome.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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