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Kalshi midterm activity concentrates in Texas as contract totals climb

PredictionMarketsPicks live Midterms Money Tracker counted 268,761,184 contracts traded across the 2026 Senate, House and chamber-control markets on Kalshi, with 17,396,975 traded in 24 hours and 184,151,706 in open interest across 100 live races. The Texas Senate race led 24-hour activity with 3,944,540 contracts on James Talarico.

According to PredictionMarketsPicks’ live Midterms Money Tracker, Kalshi’s 2026 midterm markets recorded 268,761,184 contracts traded across Senate, House and chamber-control markets. The figures were published on Nov 1, 2026, at 5:15 PM ET.

The tracker counted 17,396,975 contracts traded over 24 hours. It also recorded open interest of 184,151,706 across 100 live races, providing a separate measure from trading volume.

Texas leads daily trading

The Texas Senate race ranked first in 24-hour activity, according to PredictionMarketsPicks. Contracts on James Talarico accounted for 3,944,540 trades during that period.

Those figures identify where trading activity was concentrated, but the supplied data do not include contract prices or changes in implied probabilities. The volume totals alone therefore do not establish whether traders became more or less confident in Talarico’s prospects.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is not probability: The 268,761,184-contract total measures trading, not the likelihood of any election outcome.
  • Texas is an activity focal point: The race’s leading 24-hour volume makes it a notable part of the tracker’s midterm coverage, without indicating a directional shift in expectations.
  • Open interest adds a distinct measure: The reported 184,151,706 in open interest should be distinguished from the 17,396,975 contracts traded during the 24-hour window.
KalshiSenateMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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