Terminal
Infiniti Feed

US-Iran nuclear deal contracts show low prices across two prediction venues

CoinStats lists the nuclear deal market among the busier paired markets in its November 5 comparison of markets trading on both venues, updated at 12:58 UTC. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

The US-Iran final nuclear deal market recorded 186,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to CoinStats. Its December 31 outcome traded at 7 cents on Polymarket and 6 cents on Kalshi.

Activity across both platforms

CoinStats placed the nuclear deal market among the busier paired markets in its November 5 comparison of contracts available on both venues. The comparison was updated at 12:58 UTC.

The supplied report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Prices and limits of the snapshot

The quoted prices put Polymarket 1 cent above Kalshi for the December 31 outcome. Both prices were low, despite the market’s relatively active trading in the CoinStats comparison.

The supplied summary does not break down the 186,000 dollars between venues or provide earlier prices. It therefore offers a snapshot of activity and pricing, rather than evidence of a change in expectations.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Low prices, notable activity: The market’s inclusion among the busier paired contracts shows that trading interest can coexist with low outcome prices.
  • A small venue gap: Polymarket’s 7-cent quote and Kalshi’s 6-cent quote differ by 1 cent; the summary does not include execution costs or liquidity details.
  • Resolution terms matter: December 31, 2026, is the stated resolution date, but the supplied material does not specify the criteria for a qualifying final nuclear deal.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to CoinStats”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related