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Iran invasion contract leads tracked markets with $76.1 million traded

The Polymarket contract on whether the US will invade Iran before 2027 has drawn 76.1 million dollars in trading volume at 17 cents, making it the most traded of the 443 markets PicksByOdds tracks across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless. The contract has 61 days left before it closes.

The Polymarket contract asking whether the US will invade Iran before 2027 ranks first by trading volume among 443 markets tracked by PicksByOdds, according to the outlet.

The contract has recorded $76.1 million in trading volume and is priced at 17 cents. Those figures describe trading activity and pricing, rather than confirmation of the underlying event.

A volume leader with 61 days remaining

PicksByOdds tracks markets across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless. The ranking places the Iran invasion contract ahead of all other markets in that tracked group, not necessarily every contract available on those platforms.

The update, published Nov 1, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET, states that the contract has 61 days remaining before it closes. Its question concerns whether a US invasion of Iran will occur before 2027.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume and price tell different stories: The $76.1 million total establishes the contract’s trading-volume lead within the tracked group; the 17-cent price is a separate measure.
  • The comparison has a defined scope: The top ranking applies to the 443 markets PicksByOdds tracks across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless.
  • Timing remains central: With 61 days left before closure, the contract concerns a specific, limited window rather than the longer-term prospect of an invasion.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PicksByOdds
    Publisher
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