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Bitcoin dominates activity across Kalshi’s fifteen-minute markets

PredictionMarketsPicks counted 30 fifteen-minute series on Kalshi with 20 trading, read on November 1 at 8:27 a.m. Eastern, with Bitcoin accounting for 61 percent of the contracts traded across them over the last day of windows. Crypto series settle on CF Benchmarks 60-second averages, while metals, energy and currencies settle on Pyth.

Kalshi had 30 fifteen-minute market series listed, with 20 trading, in a count by PredictionMarketsPicks taken on November 1 at 8:27 a.m. Eastern. The snapshot distinguishes the platform’s listed range from the portion actually trading.

Bitcoin accounted for 61 percent of contracts traded across those series over the last day of windows, according to PredictionMarketsPicks. That places a majority of the measured contract activity in Bitcoin rather than the other series combined.

Activity and settlement benchmarks

The findings were published on Nov 1, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET. Both the series count and Bitcoin’s share describe a specific observation period, rather than establishing a longer-term pattern in participation.

Settlement sources differ by asset group. According to PredictionMarketsPicks, crypto series settle using CF Benchmarks 60-second averages, while metals, energy and currencies settle on Pyth.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Listings are not the same as trading activity: The count identifies 30 listed series but only 20 trading at the observation time.
  • Bitcoin leads the measured volume: Its 61 percent share reflects contracts traded over the last day of windows, not a probability forecast.
  • Resolution benchmarks vary: Crypto’s CF Benchmarks 60-second averages and the Pyth settlement source for metals, energy and currencies are distinct inputs to market outcomes.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketsPicks
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