Iran invasion contract tops PicksByOdds board with $76 million in volume
PicksByOdds lists the Polymarket market on whether the US will invade Iran before 2027 as the largest market on its October 31 board, trading at 17 cents with about 76 million dollars in volume and 62 days left before it closes.
According to PicksByOdds, the Polymarket contract asking whether the US will invade Iran before 2027 was the largest market on its October 31 board. It traded at 17 cents, with about $76 million in volume.
Price and deadline
The PicksByOdds update, published Oct 31, 2026, at 10:15 PM ET, listed 62 days remaining before the market closes. The contract’s question sets a before-2027 cutoff for the potential invasion.
The 17-cent price and roughly $76 million in volume describe different aspects of the market: its quoted trading level and the amount traded. The volume figure alone does not establish how likely the underlying event is.
Limits of the snapshot
The supplied summary provides a single board snapshot, without earlier prices or volume comparisons. It therefore does not establish whether the contract had recently risen or fallen, or how far it ranked ahead of other markets.
It also does not provide the contract’s resolution criteria. Those terms would be needed to assess precisely what would qualify as a US invasion of Iran for settlement purposes.
What it means for prediction markets
- Board leadership: PicksByOdds ranked the contract largest on its October 31 board, with about $76 million in volume.
- Price versus activity: The 17-cent quote should be distinguished from trading volume; heavy activity is not itself evidence that an invasion will occur.
- Settlement matters: With 62 days listed until closure, the before-2027 cutoff and the contract’s exact resolution terms are central to interpreting the market.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PicksByOdds
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PicksByOdds”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- California Governor market prices Xavier Becerra at 97 cents on Polymarket and 96.7 cents on Kalshi against Steve Hilton, Action Network reports
- Los Angeles mayoral market prices Karen Bass at 58 percent against Nithya Raman at 42 percent with 16.8 million dollars traded, RG reports
- Hyperliquid hits 100 dollars in 2026 rises eight points to 75 percent on Polymarket while the 110 dollar market falls 15 points, RG reports
- Anthropic IPO before 2027 falls six points to 90 percent on Polymarket, RG reports
- 76ers against Hornets is the most traded Polymarket market at 4.2 million dollars in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Fed hike on Dec. 9 priced at about 70% on both venues, down 4 points this week