Anthropic listing odds retreat as Fable release contract also loses ground
RG's Polymarket biggest-movers table for October 31 lists the Anthropic IPO before 2027 market down six points over 24 hours, from 96 percent to 90 percent. The same table lists the next Fable model release by November 30 down nine points to 82 percent.
Anthropic contract drops six points
The Polymarket contract on whether Anthropic will hold an IPO before 2027 fell six points over 24 hours, from 96 percent to 90 percent, according to RG’s biggest-movers table for October 31.
The decline left the market at 90 percent despite the shift away from its earlier level. The supplied report was published on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET.
Fable release odds also decline
The same RG table showed a larger decline for the contract on whether the next Fable model would be released by November 30. That market fell nine points to 82 percent.
The supplied summary identifies the price changes but gives no explanation for either move. It provides no additional reporting on Anthropic’s IPO plans or the timing of the next Fable model release.
What it means for prediction markets
- Both contracts moved lower but remained above 80 percent, with Anthropic at 90 percent and Fable at 82 percent.
- The deadlines differ: the Anthropic contract concerns an IPO before 2027, while the Fable contract concerns a release by November 30.
- The reported moves establish a change in market pricing, not its cause; the supplied material does not identify a catalyst for either decline.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- RGrg.org
- Publisher
- https://rg.org
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to RG”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Kansas Governor market prices Ty Masterson at 75 cents on Polymarket and 73 cents on Kalshi against Cindy Holscher, Action Network reports
- Thunder against Rockets is the third most traded Polymarket market at 2.2 million dollars in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Gen.G priced at 47 percent on Polymarket to win Worlds 2026 with volume at 3.6 times its daily average, DeFi Rate reports
- US strike on Colombia by December 31 priced at 20.5% on Polymarket, up 3.0 points, on $1.2M traded
- Texas St. vs Boise St. traded $668K in the last 24 hours, with Boise St. priced at 94c on Kalshi
- Prediction markets trade 5.68 billion dollars on October 31 with Kalshi at 4.79 billion dollars, DeFi Rate reports