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Anthropic listing odds retreat as Fable release contract also loses ground

RG's Polymarket biggest-movers table for October 31 lists the Anthropic IPO before 2027 market down six points over 24 hours, from 96 percent to 90 percent. The same table lists the next Fable model release by November 30 down nine points to 82 percent.

Anthropic contract drops six points

The Polymarket contract on whether Anthropic will hold an IPO before 2027 fell six points over 24 hours, from 96 percent to 90 percent, according to RG’s biggest-movers table for October 31.

The decline left the market at 90 percent despite the shift away from its earlier level. The supplied report was published on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET.

Fable release odds also decline

The same RG table showed a larger decline for the contract on whether the next Fable model would be released by November 30. That market fell nine points to 82 percent.

The supplied summary identifies the price changes but gives no explanation for either move. It provides no additional reporting on Anthropic’s IPO plans or the timing of the next Fable model release.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both contracts moved lower but remained above 80 percent, with Anthropic at 90 percent and Fable at 82 percent.
  • The deadlines differ: the Anthropic contract concerns an IPO before 2027, while the Fable contract concerns a release by November 30.
  • The reported moves establish a change in market pricing, not its cause; the supplied material does not identify a catalyst for either decline.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    RGrg.org
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