Infiniti FeedNov 4, 2026 · 2:45 AM ET

Late election wagers favor Democrats as Polymarket draws $951,198 bet

Business Today reports BETINT data showing more than 4 million dollars in bets placed just after the first polls closed at 6 p.m. ET, mostly backing Democrats, including a single 951,198 dollar Polymarket wager on Democrats taking the House. Nearly 934,000 dollars in election bets hit Kalshi within a single second, BETINT added.

Business Today, citing BETINT data, reported more than $4 million in election bets placed just after the first polls closed at 6 p.m. ET. Most of the wagers backed Democrats.

Large wagers arrive as polls close

The activity included a single $951,198 wager on Polymarket backing Democrats to take the House, according to Business Today’s account of the BETINT data.

Kalshi also saw a concentrated burst of trading. Nearly $934,000 in election bets arrived within a single second, BETINT added, according to Business Today.

Timing and direction

The report, published Nov 4, 2026, at 2:45 AM ET, puts the betting activity immediately after the first poll closures. The supplied summary does not specify the outcomes targeted by the Kalshi wagers.

The figures show the scale and predominantly Democratic direction of the reported bets. They do not establish how much market prices changed or whether the activity reflected new information.

What it means for prediction markets

Size is not probability: The $951,198 Polymarket wager represents a large position on Democratic House control, but the summary provides no corresponding price or implied probability.
Timing deserves context: More than $4 million arrived just after the first polls closed at 6 p.m. ET; timing alone does not establish what prompted those bets.
Platform figures have limits: Kalshi’s nearly $934,000 burst occurred within a single second, but the summary does not identify its contract mix or directional exposure.

KalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published: Nov 4, 2026 · 2:45 AM ET

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Business Today
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Late election wagers favor Democrats as Polymarket draws $951,198 bet

Large wagers arrive as polls close

Timing and direction

What it means for prediction markets

Sources & attribution

Related

Large wagers arrive as polls close

Timing and direction

What it means for prediction markets