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Kalshi’s year-end S and P 500 band gains as trading leads

PredictionMarketPicks reports its November 4, 3:21 a.m. EST Kalshi leaderboard priced the contract on the S and P 500 finishing between 7800 and 7999.99 on December 31, 2026 at 23 cents, up 3 cents in 24 hours, on 3,568 contracts traded. It was the highest-priced of the board's most-traded economics bands, with the 8000 to 8200 band next at 11 cents.

PredictionMarketPicks’ November 4 leaderboard showed Kalshi’s contract for the S and P 500 to finish between 7800 and 7999.99 on December 31, 2026 priced at 23 cents, a 3-cent increase over 24 hours.

The snapshot, recorded at 3:21 a.m. EST, listed 3,568 contracts traded. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET.

How the bands compare

The 7800–7999.99 contract carried the highest price among the leaderboard’s most-traded economics bands, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The next-highest was the 8000 to 8200 band, priced at 11 cents.

That put the two bands 12 cents apart. The comparison describes prices within the reported leaderboard, rather than a complete distribution of possible year-end outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 3-cent daily gain marks a higher price for the specific 7800–7999.99 outcome, not necessarily a broader shift toward higher index levels.
  • The 23-cent and 11-cent prices distinguish two neighboring year-end ranges; their precise boundaries matter when comparing contracts.
  • The figures reflect the November 4, 3:21 a.m. EST snapshot, not subsequent trading.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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