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Bitcoin leads Polymarket futures activity as largest whale orders close longs

Polywatcher reports Polymarket perpetual futures traded 192.92 million dollars in Bitcoin in its latest hourly read through 08:11 UTC on November 4, with the S and P 500 index second at 14.86 million dollars. The largest whale order shown was a 631,900 dollar close of an S and P 500 long, followed by a 298,700 dollar close of a Bitcoin long.

According to Polywatcher, Bitcoin perpetual futures on Polymarket recorded $192.92 million in trading during the latest hourly window through 08:11 UTC on November 4, 2026.

The S and P 500 index ranked second, with $14.86 million in volume. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 4:15 AM ET.

Largest reported orders involved long closures

The largest whale order shown was a $631,900 transaction closing an S and P 500 long, according to Polywatcher. Next was a $298,700 transaction closing a Bitcoin long.

That places the largest disclosed whale order in the second-ranked market by hourly volume, rather than in Bitcoin. Both orders closed long positions; the supplied summary does not identify new short positions.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The figures describe perpetual-futures trading volume and individual orders, not event-contract probabilities.
  • Bitcoin led the reported hourly activity, while the largest whale order shown concerned the S and P 500. Those are distinct measures of market activity.
  • The long closures alone do not establish a broader directional shift. The summary provides no earlier hourly comparison or event-market pricing.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Polywatcher
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