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Tracked Polymarket traders hold $4.0 million in seven-state Senate market

PolyConsensus reports 119 tracked top Polymarket traders hold positions in the market on Republicans losing the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas Senate seats, with 4.0 million dollars held as of 09:26 UTC on November 4. The No side is priced at 14 cents and is held by 28 of those traders.

Positions span seven Senate seats

According to PolyConsensus, 119 tracked top Polymarket traders have positions in a market concerning Republicans losing the Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas.

Those traders held $4.0 million in the market as of 09:26 UTC on November 4. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 5:00 AM ET.

No trades at 14 cents

The No side is priced at 14 cents, according to PolyConsensus. Of the 119 tracked traders with positions in the market, 28 hold No.

The supplied summary does not break down the $4.0 million between the market’s sides or specify how much the 28 No holders account for. It also does not establish whether any tracked traders hold positions on both sides.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $4.0 million figure describes holdings among the tracked top traders, not total market volume or liquidity.
  • The 14-cent No price and the count of 28 No holders provide different signals: one is a market price, while the other measures participation within the tracked group.
  • This is a seven-state bundle. The reported price should not be treated as a separate assessment of any individual Senate seat.
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Sources & attribution

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    PolyConsensus
    Publisher
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