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Kalshi’s year-end S&P 500 range contract gains as trading reaches 17K

The same PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard lists the December 31 S&P 500 band contract among its top economics markets by volume at 17c, up 5c in 24 hours, on 17K…

A Kalshi contract tied to the S&P 500 closing between 8,000 and 8,199.99 on December 31, 2026 was priced at 17c, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The price was up 5c over 24 hours, with 17K contracts traded.

A defined year-end outcome

The PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard placed the contract among its top economics markets by volume. The supplied update was published on Nov 5, 2026 · 4:24 AM ET.

The contract concerns a specific closing range on a specific date, rather than simply whether the S&P 500 rises or falls. Its outcome therefore depends on the index finishing within the stated band on December 31, 2026.

Price movement and its limits

The 5c increase indicates a higher market price for that outcome over the reported 24-hour period. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst or provide prices for other year-end closing ranges, limiting comparisons across possible outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Range matters: The relevant outcome is a close between 8,000 and 8,199.99, not merely a close above 8,000.
  • Price is not certainty: The 17c quote reflects the market’s pricing of the defined outcome, not a guarantee of the year-end index level.
  • Volume provides limited context: The 17K contracts traded and leaderboard placement establish activity, but the summary does not provide order-book depth or bid-ask spreads.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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