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Talarico gains ground as Texas Senate market draws $1.7 million

DeFi Rate reports the Texas Senate winner market traded 1.7 million dollars in the last 24 hours, with James Talarico priced at 71 cents on Kalshi and Ken Paxton at 30 cents. The price marks a rise from 65 percent to 71 percent over seven days in DeFi Rate closing data.

The Texas Senate winner market recorded $1.7 million in trading over the last 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. James Talarico was priced at 71 cents on Kalshi, compared with 30 cents for Ken Paxton.

The figures were reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 4:15 PM ET, placing Talarico ahead in the market’s pricing.

Talarico’s price rises over seven days

DeFi Rate’s closing data showed Talarico moving from 65 percent to 71 percent over seven days. That represents a six-percentage-point increase across the period.

The supplied reporting does not identify what drove that change or provide a corresponding seven-day price history for Paxton. It therefore establishes the direction of Talarico’s move, but not its cause.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing favors Talarico: His 71-cent price is above Paxton’s 30-cent price, reflecting the market’s relative assessment rather than a confirmed election outcome.
  • The weekly move is measurable: DeFi Rate’s closing data puts Talarico six percentage points higher over seven days.
  • Volume is not directional evidence: The reported $1.7 million in 24-hour trading does not, by itself, establish which candidate attracted more buying.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
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