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Tampa Bay’s shutout delivers a win for modest market favorite

DeFi Rate's finals board for Sunday, November 1 shows Tampa Bay defeating Atlanta 16 to 0, holding the Falcons scoreless. The result settles the game winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US against the pre-game market, which had priced the Buccaneers at 55 percent.

Tampa Bay defeated Atlanta 16 to 0 on Sunday, November 1, according to DeFi Rate’s finals board. The Buccaneers held the Falcons scoreless after entering the game with a pre-game market probability of 55 percent.

Result and contract settlement

The outcome settles game-winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US in favor of Tampa Bay, according to DeFi Rate. The winning side therefore matched the pre-game market favorite.

DeFi Rate’s update was published on Nov 1, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET. Its finals board recorded both the Buccaneers’ victory and Atlanta’s failure to score.

A narrow probability edge, a decisive score

The 55 percent pre-game pricing gave Tampa Bay a modest edge in the market. The 16-to-0 final was decisive on the scoreboard, but the probability concerned which team would win—not the margin of victory.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Winner contracts: The reported result resolves the game-winner outcome toward Tampa Bay on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
  • Favorite confirmed: The Buccaneers won after being priced at 55 percent before kickoff.
  • Calibration limits: One victory does not establish whether that pre-game probability was well calibrated; the shutout alone does not answer that question.
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Sources & attribution

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    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
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