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Bitcoin’s leading Polymarket price band holds 35 percent ahead of November 3

Lines reports the 78,000 to 80,000 dollar range leads Polymarket's Bitcoin price on November 3 market at 35 percent, ahead of 76,000 to 78,000 dollars at 28 percent and 80,000 to 82,000 dollars at 16 percent. The market has traded about 19,000 dollars and closes on November 3 at 17:00 UTC.

According to Lines, the $78,000 to $80,000 range leads Polymarket’s market for Bitcoin’s price on November 3, with a probability of 35 percent.

The update, published Nov 1, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET, places that band ahead of two neighboring ranges, though it remains below a majority probability.

Nearby price bands trail

The $76,000 to $78,000 range stands at 28 percent, according to Lines. That leaves it 7 percentage points behind the leading outcome.

The $80,000 to $82,000 band carries a 16 percent probability. Among the three reported ranges, the lower neighboring band therefore has more support than the higher one.

Trading and closing time

The market has recorded about $19,000 in trading, according to Lines. It closes on November 3 at 17:00 UTC.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A leader, not a majority: The $78,000 to $80,000 band ranks first at 35 percent, but that does not make it an overwhelmingly favored outcome.
  • The closest reported challenger is lower: The $76,000 to $78,000 band trails by 7 percentage points, while the $80,000 to $82,000 band sits at 16 percent.
  • The figures are a snapshot: The reported probabilities and roughly $19,000 in trading precede the November 3 close at 17:00 UTC.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Lineslines.com
    Publisher
    https://www.lines.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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