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Kuomintang gains ground in Polymarket pricing ahead of Taiwan local elections

The Democratic Progressive Party stood at 23.9 percent, down 4.9 points, and the Taiwan People's Party at 0.1 percent in the November 1 reading, with 402,500 dollars in total volume and 38,800 dollars traded in the last 24 hours ahead of the November 28 local elections.

According to PolymarketTrader, Polymarket’s Taiwan local elections party winner market priced the Kuomintang at 76.5 percent in its November 1 reading, up seven points.

Party pricing diverges

The Democratic Progressive Party stood at 23.9 percent, down 4.9 points, while the Taiwan People's Party was priced at 0.1 percent, according to the same report.

Those readings placed the Kuomintang well ahead of the other two parties in the market ahead of the November 28 local elections. They represent market pricing, not an election result.

Trading activity ahead of the vote

PolymarketTrader reported 402,500 dollars in total volume, with 38,800 dollars traded in the last 24 hours. The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 6:00 AM ET.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Kuomintang’s seven-point increase and the Democratic Progressive Party’s 4.9-point decline show pricing moving in opposite directions in the reported reading.
  • The supplied summary does not specify the comparison period for those changes, limiting conclusions about how quickly sentiment shifted.
  • The reported volume provides context for trading activity, but the summary does not include market resolution criteria or order-book depth.
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Sources & attribution

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    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
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