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Kalshi year-end S&P 500 range contract slips to 22 cents

PredictionMarketPicks lists the S&P 500 finishing between 7,800 and 7,999 on December 31 as a leading Kalshi economics contract at 22 cents, down four cents in 24 hours with 290,000 contracts in open interest.

Year-end range pricing falls

The Kalshi contract tied to the S&P 500 finishing between 7,800 and 7,999 on December 31 was priced at 22 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

The update, published Oct 31, 2026 · 9:15 PM ET, showed a four-cent decline over 24 hours. That move reflects a lower price for the specified year-end outcome, rather than a reported change in the index itself.

Open interest reaches 290,000 contracts

PredictionMarketPicks listed the position among leading Kalshi economics contracts, with open interest of 290,000 contracts.

The supplied summary gives no explanation for the price decline or pricing for other year-end ranges. It therefore offers a snapshot of this contract, not a broader account of how traders expect the S&P 500 to finish the year.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 22-cent price and four-cent daily decline show reduced pricing for the specific 7,800–7,999 outcome.
  • Open interest of 290,000 contracts measures outstanding positions; the summary does not provide trading volume.
  • Without prices for neighboring ranges, the move alone does not establish whether expectations shifted toward a higher or lower year-end index level.
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Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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