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Kalshi’s Q4 GDP threshold contract rises nine cents to 28 cents

PredictionMarketPicks lists the Kalshi contract on real GDP increasing by more than 3.5 percent in Q4 2026 among its most traded economics markets, priced at 28 cents, up nine cents in 24 hours. The contract settles on the January 28, 2027 release.

Kalshi’s contract on real GDP increasing by more than 3.5 percent in Q4 2026 was priced at 28 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks. That marked a nine-cent increase over 24 hours.

Pricing and settlement

PredictionMarketPicks listed the contract among its most traded economics markets in an update published Oct 31, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. The supplied summary does not include a trading-volume figure.

The contract settles on the January 28, 2027 release. Its specified threshold is an increase of more than 3.5 percent, rather than growth merely reaching that level.

The price change shows the contract moving higher over the reported period. The summary provides no explanation for that move or additional economic data with which to assess it.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Threshold matters: The outcome concerns real GDP growth exceeding 3.5 percent in Q4 2026, not simply whether GDP increases.
  • Timing matters: Settlement is tied to the January 28, 2027 release, rather than the end of the quarter.
  • Evidence is limited: The 28-cent price and nine-cent daily rise establish the reported market move, but the summary does not supply volume totals or a catalyst.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionMarketPicks
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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