Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Netanyahu exit contract leads World Monitor tracking with $124.9 million traded

World Monitor's live board on November 1, read at 12:21 PM UTC, ranked the Netanyahu market as the most traded of its 50 tracked Polymarket and Kalshi markets. The market closes at the start of 2027.

World Monitor’s live board put the Polymarket contract on Netanyahu leaving office by the end of 2026 at 18.5 percent on November 1. The market had recorded $124.9 million in trading volume, according to World Monitor.

Highest volume among tracked markets

At the 12:21 PM UTC reading, the Netanyahu contract ranked first by trading volume among the 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets tracked by World Monitor. That ranking applies to the board’s tracked selection, rather than establishing a lead across every market on either platform.

The figures pair substantial trading activity with a price below 20 percent for Netanyahu’s departure by the stated deadline. Trading volume and the implied likelihood measure different things: the former reflects activity, while the latter captures the market’s pricing of the outcome.

Deadline at the year’s turn

The contract concerns whether Netanyahu is out by the end of 2026, and the market closes at the start of 2027, according to World Monitor. The supplied summary does not include the contract’s detailed resolution criteria.

The item was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET. Its reported board reading is a snapshot, not evidence of how the price or volume changed over time.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: The reported 18.5 percent places Netanyahu’s departure by the end of 2026 as the less likely outcome in the market.
  • Activity: The $124.9 million traded made the contract the volume leader within World Monitor’s 50-market selection, not necessarily across all Polymarket and Kalshi contracts.
  • Resolution: The market closes at the start of 2027, but the supplied material does not specify the rules for determining whether the outcome qualifies.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related