Jets hold narrow Polymarket edge over Raiders ahead of Sunday matchup
DeFi Rate priced Las Vegas at 47 cents and the New York Jets at 54 cents on Polymarket for the 1 p.m. Eastern Sunday game on November 1, observed at 5:11 a.m. Eastern. A 100 dollar trade on Las Vegas at the ask would pay 212 dollars if correct, before fees.
The New York Jets held a modest pricing advantage over Las Vegas on Polymarket ahead of their November 1 game, according to DeFi Rate. The matchup is scheduled for 1 p.m. Eastern on Sunday.
Prices point to a close contest
DeFi Rate recorded Las Vegas at 47 cents and the New York Jets at 54 cents in an observation taken at 5:11 a.m. Eastern. Those prices put the teams relatively close together, with New York favored.
The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET. The quoted prices therefore represent an earlier snapshot, rather than a reading at publication or kickoff.
Payout and probability are different measures
According to DeFi Rate, a 100 dollar trade on Las Vegas at the ask would pay 212 dollars if correct, before fees. That figure describes the payout, not profit after subtracting the initial trade amount.
The supplied headline characterized New York's probability as 53 percent, while the summary listed its contract at 54 cents. Those are distinct figures; the provided material does not explain the difference.
What it means for prediction markets
- A narrow favorite: The 47-cent Las Vegas and 54-cent New York quotes show a modest market preference for the Jets, not an overwhelming one.
- Timing matters: The observation was taken at 5:11 a.m. Eastern, ahead of the 1 p.m. Eastern game. It does not establish where prices stood later.
- Read returns carefully: The stated 212 dollar payout on a 100 dollar Las Vegas trade is conditional on a correct outcome and excludes fees.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Predictions.io tracks 1,670 validated Polymarket-Kalshi question matches, with Polymarket carrying $6.3B of volume on 2,932 open questions against Kalshi's $2.3B on 6,455 open questions
- NBA names Kalshi and Polymarket its preferred prediction market exchanges and signs a CFTC integrity memorandum, KuCoin reports
- Polymarket is investigating well-timed Netanyahu trades from newly created wallets after markets missed on Israel's election, Wall Street Journal reports
- Any country leaving NATO by June 30, 2027 market falls 23.5 points to 8.5 percent on Polymarket, PredictionBubbles reports
- Next Fable Model release by November 19 priced at 61 percent on Polymarket, down 9.5 points, PredictionBubbles reports
- Chargers at Rams market prices Los Angeles at 73 percent across prediction markets for the Sunday afternoon slate, Covers reports