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Democratic control bets lead Polymarket’s $12.3 million in large trades

Rivo reports 12.3 million dollars in Polymarket whale money across 875 large trades in the last 24 hours, with 186 open bets from winning wallets still waiting to settle. Democratic House control drew the most large-trade money at 4.2 million dollars across 249 trades, ahead of Democratic Senate control at 2.5 million dollars across 221 trades.

Polymarket recorded $12.3 million in whale money across 875 large trades over the last 24 hours, according to Rivo. The report was published Nov 4, 2026, at 1:00 AM ET.

House control draws the largest total

Democratic House control attracted the most large-trade money, with $4.2 million spread across 249 trades, according to Rivo.

Democratic Senate control followed with $2.5 million across 221 trades. The House market therefore led the Senate market in both reported money and transaction count.

Winning wallets await settlements

Rivo also reported 186 open bets from winning wallets that had yet to settle. Those positions remain unresolved, distinct from the reported activity over the last 24 hours.

The supplied summary does not include contract prices, trade direction or a breakdown of those unsettled positions. The figures identify where large-trade activity was concentrated, but do not establish how implied probabilities changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Concentration matters: Democratic House control led the reported large-trade totals, ahead of Democratic Senate control.
  • Volume is not probability: Without prices or trade direction, the reported money cannot establish whether traders became more confident in either outcome.
  • Settlements remain pending: The 186 open bets from winning wallets are unresolved positions, not confirmed results.
PolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
    Publisher
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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