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Kuomintang leads Taiwan election market as November 28 vote approaches

PolymarketTrader, updated November 1, prices the Kuomintang at 76 percent to win the 2026 Taiwanese local elections, ahead of the Democratic Progressive Party at 22.8 percent and the Taiwan People's Party at 0.1 percent. The market has traded 404,400 dollars in total, with 22,500 dollars in the last 24 hours, ahead of the November 28 elections.

According to PolymarketTrader, the Kuomintang is priced at 76 percent to win the 2026 Taiwanese local elections on Polymarket. Its November 1 update puts the party ahead of the Democratic Progressive Party and the Taiwan People's Party.

Prices and trading activity

The Democratic Progressive Party is priced at 22.8 percent, while the Taiwan People's Party stands at 0.1 percent. Those figures place the Kuomintang clearly ahead in the market snapshot, rather than establishing an election outcome.

Total trading volume has reached 404,400 dollars, according to PolymarketTrader. Of that amount, 22,500 dollars was traded in the last 24 hours.

The elections are scheduled for November 28. The supplied report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET, making these prices a pre-election snapshot.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A clear market favorite: The Kuomintang’s 76 percent price is substantially above the Democratic Progressive Party’s 22.8 percent and the Taiwan People's Party’s 0.1 percent.
  • Volume is not certainty: The 404,400 dollars in total trading and 22,500 dollars over the last 24 hours describe market activity, not the reliability of the forecast.
  • Settlement details remain unspecified: The supplied summary does not include the contract’s definition of winning the local elections or its resolution criteria, limiting interpretation of the prices.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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