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Election market traders turn voter outreach into a research tool

KuCoin, citing MetaEra, reports seasoned Kalshi and Polymarket traders are canvassing voters in person and analysing voter data ahead of the November 3 midterms. Douglas Campbell trades on Kalshi as AlexanderHam with more than 800,000 dollars in profit, while David Bensoussan trades on Polymarket as Scottilicious with cumulative profits above 1.5 million dollars and more than 280,000 dollars in positions backing Democrats to win the House.

Experienced traders on Kalshi and Polymarket are seeking information directly from voters ahead of the November 3 midterms, according to KuCoin, citing MetaEra. Their research includes in-person canvassing and analysis of voter data.

The report, published Nov 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, describes traders using that groundwork to inform their election-market positions.

Two traders and their election exposure

Douglas Campbell, who trades on Kalshi under the name AlexanderHam, has recorded more than 800,000 dollars in profit, according to KuCoin’s account.

David Bensoussan trades on Polymarket as Scottilicious. His cumulative profits exceed 1.5 million dollars, and he holds more than 280,000 dollars in positions backing Democrats to win the House.

Those figures describe different measures: reported profits for both traders and a specific election exposure for Bensoussan. The material does not establish how much of either trader’s profit came from canvassing or voter-data analysis.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reporting highlights in-person voter research as an input some experienced participants are using ahead of the November 3 midterms.
  • Bensoussan’s more than 280,000 dollars in positions indicate his exposure to a Democratic House victory, not a market-wide probability.
  • The reported profits do not, on their own, demonstrate that these research methods will accurately anticipate the election outcome.
KalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    KuCoin
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