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Ether’s November threshold contract reaches 92% as settlement details matter

A Polymarket contract on Ether touching 2,300 dollars during November showed a 92 percent probability at 9:57 a.m. ET on November 1, up 44 percent over the previous 24 hours. The contract settles on any one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle recording a high of at least 2,300 dollars during the month.

According to TokenPost, a Polymarket contract tracking whether Ether touches $2,300 during November stood at a 92% implied probability at 9:57 a.m. ET on November 1, 2026.

The supplied summary describes the move over the preceding 24 hours as a 44% increase. The headline instead describes a rise of 44 percentage points. Those measures are not interchangeable, leaving the size of the change ambiguous in the provided material.

A price touch, not a closing level

The settlement condition is specific: any one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle during November must record a high of at least $2,300, according to TokenPost.

That makes the contract a test of whether the threshold is reached at any point during the month. It does not require Ether to close a candle—or finish November—at or above $2,300.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 92% reading reflects the contract’s implied probability at the stated time, not confirmation that its settlement condition has been met.
  • Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle highs are the relevant evidence for settlement; the contract is not defined by a month-end price.
  • The discrepancy between a 44% increase and a 44-percentage-point rise limits precise interpretation of the reported repricing.
PolymarketEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    TokenPost
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