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Bitcoin’s October 31 threshold crossing settles Polymarket contract at yes

Bitcoin crossed and held the 78,000 dollar threshold on October 31, 2026, confirming the yes outcome on Polymarket's price-level market, which drew 334.1 thousand dollars in volume. The related market asking when Bitcoin will hit 150,000 dollars is priced at 26 percent.

Bitcoin crossed $78,000 and held above that level on October 31, 2026, confirming a yes outcome for Polymarket’s corresponding price-level contract, according to Lines.

The market drew $334.1 thousand in volume. Its outcome hinged on Bitcoin reaching the specified threshold on October 31, rather than on a longer-term price forecast.

A settled threshold and a higher target

The $78,000 result provides a completed outcome for traders tracking that contract. Lines’ account identifies both the threshold crossing and Bitcoin’s subsequent hold above it.

A related Polymarket contract asking when Bitcoin will reach $150,000 is priced at 26 percent, according to Lines. The supplied summary does not identify the deadline or timing option associated with that price, limiting how precisely it can be interpreted.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Confirmed outcome: The October 31, 2026, $78,000 contract resolved yes, with $334.1 thousand in volume.
  • Separate questions: Settlement of the $78,000 contract does not determine the outcome of the related $150,000 market.
  • Timing matters: The reported 26 percent price lacks a specified time horizon in the supplied material, so it should not be treated as an unconditional probability of Bitcoin reaching $150,000.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Lineslines.com
    Publisher
    https://www.lines.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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