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Bitcoin short closure tops Polymarket whale activity as hourly turnover leads

Polywatcher, in data through 22:28 UTC on November 4, lists the largest recent whale order on Polymarket's perpetual futures as a 6.05 million dollar close of a Bitcoin short at 80,615.55 dollars. Bitcoin is the hottest perps market this hour at 110.77 million dollars traded, ahead of WTI oil at 6.49 million dollars and the S and P 500 at 4.30 million dollars.

According to Polywatcher, the largest recent whale order on Polymarket’s perpetual futures was a $6.05 million transaction closing a Bitcoin short at $80,615.55. The data runs through 22:28 UTC on November 4.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 6:30 PM ET. The transaction represents the closure of a short position, rather than the opening of a new Bitcoin long.

Bitcoin dominates hourly perpetuals trading

Bitcoin also ranked first in hourly perpetual futures volume, with $110.77 million traded, according to Polywatcher. WTI oil followed at $6.49 million, ahead of the S and P 500 at $4.30 million.

The snapshot places Bitcoin at the center of both the largest reported recent whale order and hourly trading activity. It does not provide the trader’s rationale, the short’s entry price or the transaction’s profit or loss.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Position closure is not a fresh bullish wager. The $6.05 million order closed a Bitcoin short; the supplied data does not establish a new long position.
  • Volume measures activity, not probability. Bitcoin’s $110.77 million hourly turnover shows where perpetuals trading was concentrated, not the implied odds of a prediction-market outcome.
  • The window matters. These figures describe activity captured through 22:28 UTC on November 4, rather than a full-day total.
PolymarketBitcoinOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Polywatcher
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Polywatcher”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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