Trump impeachment odds climb as Democrats approach control of Congress
BigGo Finance reports, citing Benzinga, that Polymarket pricing on Trump being impeached before his term ends rose from 78 percent to 83 percent within 24 hours as Democrats moved toward control of both chambers. The contract on impeachment before June 30, 2027 rose to 63 percent, up 11 percentage points from the previous day.
Polymarket pricing for Trump being impeached before his term ends reached 83 percent, up from 78 percent within 24 hours, according to BigGo Finance, citing Benzinga.
The report, published Nov 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, linked the increase to Democrats moving toward control of both chambers. The supplied account did not establish that control had been secured.
Two deadlines, higher pricing
The contract covering impeachment before June 30, 2027 also rose. It reached 63 percent, an increase of 11 percentage points from the previous day, according to BigGo Finance’s account of Benzinga’s reporting.
That shorter-deadline contract recorded a larger daily percentage-point increase than the contract covering the remainder of Trump’s term. Its pricing nevertheless remained below the 83 percent level for the longer window.
What it means for prediction markets
- Timing matters: The two contracts cover different deadlines, so their prices reflect distinct questions about when impeachment might occur.
- The nearer deadline moved more sharply: The June 30, 2027 contract gained 11 percentage points, compared with the five-percentage-point increase for the term-end contract.
- Political developments remain separate from outcomes: Democrats moving toward control of both chambers is the reported backdrop; neither that control nor impeachment was established by the supplied account.
Sources & attribution
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- BigGo Finance
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to BigGo Finance”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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