Buffalo’s decisive win follows favorite status across two prediction platforms

Buffalo beat the Baltimore Ravens 36 to 10 on November 1, delivering a victory for the kickoff favorite, according to DeFi Rate’s final odds recap.

Kickoff pricing favored Buffalo

Kalshi priced the Bills at 62 percent and the Ravens at 39 percent at kickoff. Polymarket US also put Buffalo at 62 percent, while Baltimore stood at 38 percent.

The platforms therefore showed the same pricing for Buffalo, with a one-percentage-point difference on Baltimore. The final score confirmed the favored team won, though those win probabilities alone did not indicate the eventual margin.

Trading reached $7.2 million

Trading across every tracked market on the game totaled $7.2 million, according to DeFi Rate. Kalshi accounted for $3.2 million of that volume.

The recap, published November 1, 2026, at 7:15 PM ET, provides kickoff pricing and aggregate trading figures rather than a detailed account of how odds moved during the game.

What it means for prediction markets

• The favorite prevailed: Buffalo’s 36-to-10 win aligned with its 62 percent kickoff pricing on both Kalshi and Polymarket US.
• Platform prices were close: Baltimore was priced at 39 percent on Kalshi and 38 percent on Polymarket US.
• Volume has a defined scope: The $7.2 million total covered every tracked market on the game; $3.2 million was attributed to Kalshi.
• One outcome cannot establish calibration: The result shows that the favorite won this game, not whether either platform’s probabilities were consistently accurate.