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Rams command near-certain market odds as late lead draws heavy trading

DeFi Rate's live board, observed between 6:35 and 6:40 PM ET on November 1, had the Rams ahead of the Chargers 24 to 9 in the fourth quarter, priced at 99 cents on Kalshi and 99.8 cents on Polymarket US. It says 6.1 million dollars traded since kickoff on the winner markets, including 13 big bets totaling 217,000 dollars, all on the Rams.

According to DeFi Rate, the Rams led the Chargers 24 to 9 in the fourth quarter on November 1, with winner-market prices approaching certainty.

Late-game pricing

DeFi Rate’s live board, observed between 6:35 and 6:40 PM ET, showed the Rams priced at 99 cents on Kalshi and 99.8 cents on Polymarket US. Both venues strongly favored the Rams, though their prices were not identical.

The snapshot captured trading while the game was still underway. The report, published on Nov 1, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET, did not provide a final result.

Volume and large bets

According to DeFi Rate, $6.1 million had traded on the winner markets since kickoff. That figure describes trading volume, rather than the amount wagered exclusively on the Rams.

The reported activity included 13 large bets totaling $217,000, all backing the Rams. The summary did not specify how those bets were distributed between the two venues.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Prices reflected a strong late-game favorite: The Rams’ 24-to-9 fourth-quarter lead coincided with prices of 99 cents and 99.8 cents, not a confirmed outcome.
  • Large-bet activity was one-sided: All 13 reported large bets favored the Rams, but that does not establish the direction of every trade within the $6.1 million total.
  • Timing matters: The quoted prices belong to the 6:35–6:40 PM ET observation window, rather than necessarily representing prices at publication or settlement.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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