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Polymarket’s November 1 Bitcoin threshold contract gains 23.4 points in hour

Binance, citing ChainCatcher data, reports the Yes price in Polymarket's Bitcoin breakthrough market for the 78,000 dollar level on November 1 climbed to 67.45 percent. The price was 44.05 percent one hour earlier, a rise of 23.4 points.

The Yes price in Polymarket’s market on Bitcoin breaking above $78,000 on November 1 rose to 67.45%, according to Binance, citing ChainCatcher data.

An hour earlier, the price stood at 44.05%. The move amounted to a 23.4-percentage-point increase, taking Yes from below 50% to above it.

A sharp shift in the contract

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET. The figures describe a change in the prediction-market contract’s price, rather than a reported move in Bitcoin’s underlying price.

The supplied summary does not include trading volume, liquidity, the market’s precise settlement terms or an explanation for the repricing. It therefore establishes the size of the shift, but not what drove it.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported Yes price moved from 44.05% to 67.45% in one hour, a substantial repricing toward the $78,000 threshold outcome.
  • The contract’s higher price does not establish that Bitcoin crossed $78,000 or that the market resolved Yes.
  • Without volume, liquidity and settlement details, the reported move alone offers limited evidence about its durability or the conditions required for resolution.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Binance
    Publisher
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