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Philadelphia favored over Cleveland as prediction platforms show matching prices

Cleveland is priced at 42 cents on both venues in the same NBA game market. Each contract pays 1 dollar if the team wins.

The Philadelphia 76ers are priced at 59 cents against the Cleveland Cavaliers on both Kalshi and Polymarket, according to ArbTrader. The figures were published on Nov 6, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET.

Cleveland contracts are priced at 42 cents on each platform in the same NBA game market. The quoted prices therefore favor Philadelphia on both venues.

Identical quotes across venues

Each contract pays 1 dollar if the selected team wins. Against that payout, Philadelphia’s 59-cent price corresponds to a 59% implied probability, while Cleveland’s 42-cent price corresponds to 42%.

The two teams’ quoted prices total 101 cents on each venue. Those price-implied probabilities consequently add up to 101%, rather than a normalized 100% forecast.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Matching prices: The reported quotes show no price difference between Kalshi and Polymarket for either team.
  • Philadelphia leads: The 76ers carry a 17-cent premium over Cleveland on both platforms.
  • Limited snapshot: The supplied figures do not establish trading volume, liquidity or price movement before publication.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    ArbTrader
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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