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Oil market strike ladder centers above current crude prices

PredictMarketCap counts 1,213 oil prediction markets with 15.46 million dollars in total volume, with WTI crude at 100.61 dollars and Brent crude at 110 dollars. Its December 31 strike ladder shows the mode at 115.01 dollars and a mean of 120 dollars, with a 10th to 90th percentile range of 62 to 150.01 dollars.

According to PredictMarketCap, 1,213 oil prediction markets have generated 15.46 million dollars in total volume. The figures appeared in a snapshot published Nov 2, 2026 · 5:15 AM ET.

The same snapshot puts WTI crude at 100.61 dollars and Brent crude at 110 dollars, providing the current-price reference points for its December 31 strike ladder.

December ladder shows a wide spread

PredictMarketCap’s December 31 ladder has a mode of 115.01 dollars and a mean of 120 dollars. Both measures sit above the reported prices of WTI and Brent.

The ladder’s 10th to 90th percentile range runs from 62 to 150.01 dollars. Those endpoints extend below and above both crude benchmarks, showing a much broader spread than the central measures alone convey.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 1,213-market count and 15.46 million dollars in total volume describe aggregate activity; the supplied summary does not show how volume is distributed across individual contracts.
  • The mode and mean offer central reference points for December 31, but the summary does not identify the ladder’s underlying benchmark or calculation method.
  • The 62-to-150.01-dollar percentile range is important context for interpreting the ladder. Its central values should not be treated as a certain year-end outcome.
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Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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