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Bitcoin recovery lifts November $82,500 contract to 80% on Polymarket

RG's November 5 daily board, comparing prices from Tuesday night to Wednesday night, ranked the Bitcoin 82,500 dollar November contract as its biggest mover, up 33 points to 80 percent. Bitcoin climbed back above 80,000 dollars on Wednesday and was up 3.64 percent to 80,156 dollars by early evening.

A Polymarket contract on Bitcoin reaching $82,500 in November rose 33 percentage points to 80%, according to RG’s November 5 daily board. It was the board’s largest mover.

Contract gains alongside Bitcoin rebound

RG measured the change between Tuesday night and Wednesday night. The 33-point increase put the contract’s earlier price at 47%, compared with 80% at the end of that window.

Bitcoin moved back above $80,000 on Wednesday. By early evening, it stood at $80,156, up 3.64%, according to RG.

Target remains above the reported spot price

At that reported price, Bitcoin was still $2,344 below the contract’s $82,500 threshold. The rebound therefore brought it closer to the target without reaching it at the cited observation time.

The update, published November 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET, describes a sharp repricing of the November outcome. The supplied reporting does not include trading volume, liquidity or the contract’s detailed resolution terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The move from an implied 47% to 80% marks a substantial shift in market pricing, not confirmation that the target has been reached.
  • Bitcoin’s reported recovery above $80,000 coincided with the contract’s rise, but the available material does not establish what drove the full 33-point change.
  • The remaining $2,344 gap and the November timeframe are central to the outcome; missing resolution details limit a more precise assessment.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    RGrg.org
    Publisher
    https://rg.org
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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