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Polymarket puts 97 percent on Fed holding off cuts in 2026

PredictionBubbles showed the Polymarket market on no Federal Reserve rate cuts happening in 2026 priced at 97 percent. The board tracks 2,133 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket with 6.40 billion dollars in total traded volume.

The Polymarket contract for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 was priced at 97 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The figure appeared in an update published Nov 1, 2026, at 10:15 AM ET.

That price places substantial market weight on a year without cuts. It is a prediction-market reading, not confirmation of the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions.

The broader market snapshot

PredictionBubbles’ board tracks 2,133 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, with 6.40 billion dollars in total traded volume, according to the update.

Those totals describe the board’s broader coverage, rather than activity in the Fed contract alone. The supplied summary does not give that contract’s trading volume or its earlier prices, limiting what can be said about participation or how expectations have changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 97 percent price indicates a heavily favored outcome, but not a settled result.
  • The snapshot concerns no cuts during 2026; it should not be treated as a forecast for policy beyond that year.
  • The board-wide volume does not establish the Fed contract’s liquidity. Contract-specific trading data and resolution terms were not included in the supplied material.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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