Donalds gains in Florida governor pricing as Moody holds larger advantage
Action Network's November update prices Byron Donalds at 70 cents on Polymarket and 69 cents on Kalshi for Florida governor, up from 64.5 percent on Polymarket earlier today, with David Jolly at 32 cents on both exchanges. In the Florida Senate race, Ashley Moody is priced at 90 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi against Angie Nixon at 11 cents.
Florida’s governor and Senate markets show different-sized leads for their front-runners in Action Network’s November update. Byron Donalds is priced at 70 cents on Polymarket for governor, while Ashley Moody trades at 90 cents for Senate on both Polymarket and Kalshi.
Governor contracts move toward Donalds
According to Action Network’s update, published Nov 1, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, Donalds’ Polymarket price rose from an earlier reading of 64.5 percent that day. His Kalshi contract is priced at 69 cents.
David Jolly is priced at 32 cents on both exchanges. The reported prices therefore show a one-cent difference between platforms for Donalds, with identical pricing for Jolly.
Moody commands a wider pricing lead
In the Florida Senate race, Action Network places Ashley Moody at 90 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi, against Angie Nixon at 11 cents.
That gives Moody a larger pricing advantage over Nixon than Donalds has over Jolly. Unlike the governor snapshot, however, the supplied Senate figures include no earlier reading from which to measure a change.
What it means for prediction markets
- Donalds has gained on Polymarket: The move from 64.5 percent earlier that day to 70 cents marks a higher market-implied likelihood, not a confirmed election outcome.
- The exchanges are closely aligned: Donalds differs by one cent across platforms; the reported prices for Jolly, Moody and Nixon match.
- The snapshot has limits: Without volume, liquidity or bid-ask data, the figures alone do not establish how much trading supported these prices.
Sources & attribution
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