Beshear announcement contracts show sharply different odds across two deadlines
PredictionBubbles lists the contract among the Kalshi markets opened in the last 24 hours, alongside a January 1, 2027 version priced at 2 percent. Both Beshear contracts show about 1,000 dollars traded in the latest snapshot.
PredictionBubbles lists a new Kalshi contract on whether Andy Beshear will announce a run for President before February 1, 2027, priced at 41 percent. The market shows about 1,000 dollars traded in the latest snapshot.
Two deadlines, different prices
The contract appears among Kalshi markets opened in the last 24 hours, according to PredictionBubbles. Its listing also includes a January 1, 2027 version, priced at 2 percent.
Both Beshear contracts show about 1,000 dollars traded. The snapshot accompanies the report published Nov 6, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET.
What the comparison establishes
The prices place a substantially higher likelihood on an announcement before the February deadline than before the January deadline. They concern the timing of a potential announcement, not whether Beshear would win a presidential election.
The supplied summary does not include contract rules or source links. That limits how confidently readers can interpret the difference as a precise estimate of the likelihood of an announcement between the two deadlines.
What it means for prediction markets
- Deadline sensitivity: The February 1, 2027 contract is priced at 41 percent, compared with 2 percent for the January 1, 2027 version.
- Early trading context: Both markets were listed among contracts opened in the last 24 hours, with about 1,000 dollars traded apiece.
- Interpretation limits: Without the underlying rules, the price gap should not automatically be treated as a standalone probability for an announcement between the deadlines.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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