Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Kalshi Bitcoin contract draws $14.4 million with a 2 percent price

DOXA lists the Bitcoin above 200,000 dollars market among the most liquid markets in its latest snapshot. The contract is listed on Kalshi and resolves against the Bitcoin price by next year.

A Kalshi contract on Bitcoin being above 200,000 dollars by next year is priced at 2 percent, with 14.4 million dollars traded, according to DOXA.

Trading activity and pricing

DOXA includes the contract among the most liquid markets in its latest snapshot. The report, published Nov 6, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, pairs substantial trading activity with a low market-implied likelihood for the stated outcome.

The two figures describe different aspects of the market: 14.4 million dollars measures trading volume, while the 2 percent price reflects how the contract’s outcome is being priced. High turnover does not itself indicate confidence that Bitcoin will exceed the threshold.

Resolution details remain limited

The contract is listed on Kalshi and resolves against the Bitcoin price by next year, according to DOXA. The supplied summary does not specify an exact resolution date, a reference price source or the detailed settlement conditions.

Those omissions limit how precisely readers can interpret the deadline and price test. The snapshot establishes the reported price and volume, but does not provide a price history showing how expectations have changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Low price, substantial volume: The 2 percent price and 14.4 million dollars traded show that an outcome priced as unlikely can still attract considerable trading.
  • Settlement terms matter: “By next year” does not establish the exact observation window or settlement test in the supplied material.
  • A snapshot, not a trend: DOXA’s figures do not establish whether the contract’s price has risen or fallen over time.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DOXA
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DOXA”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related