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Kalshi Greenland purchase contract trades at 14 percent amid heavy volume

DOXA lists the Greenland purchase contract among the most liquid politics markets in its latest snapshot. The contract is listed on Kalshi and pays if the purchase happens before January 20, 2029.

A Kalshi contract on Trump buying at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029 is priced at 14 percent, according to DOXA. The market has recorded 7.8 million dollars in trading volume.

Pricing and activity

DOXA places the contract among the most liquid politics markets in its latest snapshot. The supplied summary, published Nov 6, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET, does not specify its ranking within that group.

The 14 percent price captures the market’s assessment of the purchase outcome. The 7.8 million dollars traded measures activity, rather than support for either side of the contract.

The outcome being traded

According to DOXA, the contract pays if Trump buys at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029. Its stated scope therefore includes a partial purchase, not only an acquisition of the entire territory.

The supplied material does not include the full settlement rules or further details about what would qualify as a purchase. Those limits matter when interpreting precisely which developments could satisfy the contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price and volume tell different stories: The contract is priced at 14 percent despite attracting 7.8 million dollars in trading activity.
  • Scope matters: A purchase of at least part of Greenland is the stated trigger; the outcome is not restricted to the whole territory.
  • The deadline is specific: The purchase must happen before January 20, 2029, according to the supplied description.
  • Settlement detail remains limited: The summary identifies the broad payout condition but does not provide the complete rules.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DOXA
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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