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Smith leads Kalshi pricing as NC-03 draws 1.4 million dollars

DeFi Rate, observing prices between 3:39 PM and 4:20 PM ET on November 4, ranks the North Carolina 3rd District House winner market 15th overall by 24 hour volume at 1.4 million dollars. Raymond Smith Jr. leads at 73 cents on Kalshi, with Greg Murphy at 29 cents.

The North Carolina 3rd District House winner market recorded 1.4 million dollars in 24-hour trading volume, placing it 15th overall in DeFi Rate’s ranking, according to the outlet.

Raymond Smith Jr. led the Kalshi pricing at 73 cents, while Greg Murphy stood at 29 cents. Those figures describe market prices, not a confirmed election result.

A late-afternoon pricing snapshot

DeFi Rate observed the prices between 3:39 PM and 4:20 PM ET on November 4. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET.

The supplied summary provides no earlier prices or volume comparisons. It therefore establishes the market’s reported activity and candidate pricing during that window, but does not show whether either candidate had gained or lost ground.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing favored Smith: His 73-cent quote exceeded Murphy’s 29-cent quote on Kalshi during the reported observation window.
  • Volume supplied a ranking, not a result: The 1.4 million dollars traded over 24 hours put the market 15th overall in DeFi Rate’s ranking; that activity does not establish the election outcome.
  • Timing limits the interpretation: The figures reflect observations between 3:39 PM and 4:20 PM ET on November 4, rather than a documented price trend.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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